Comparison of Euro NCAP test results with Folksam car model safety ratings

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Lie, Anders^1,2; Kullgren, Anders³; Tingvall, Claes¹

Comparison of Euro NCAP test results with Folksam car model safety ratings

Proceedings of the 17th International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV)

Affiliations

¹Swedish National Road Administration, Sweden

²Karolinska Institutet, Sweden

³Folksam Research, Sweden
Abstract

The European crash test program, Euro NCAP, has since it’s launch presented results of some 80 individual car models. The improvements in the general level of protection have been substantial. While the intention of the test program is to stimulate the use of best practice, and not to predict real life outcome, it is nevertheless important to validate the positive development, and to pinpoint potential areas not included in the laboratory safety ratings.

In this study, Euro NCAP rating results were compared with a comprehensive car model safety rating method based on real-life crashes, developed by Folksam. In addition, correlation with relative injury risks was also studied. In the Folksam method, the ratings are based on the risk of fatalities and longterm consequences due to injury. The car models were grouped together according to the Euro NCAP star ratings.

A correlation was found between Euro NCAP scoring and relative risk of serious and fatal injury as well as for the Folksam rating score (relative risk of fatality or permanent disability). No correlation between Euro NCAP scoring and relative risk of any injury was found. A stronger correlation between risks for serious consequences was found when AIS1 neck injuries were excluded compared to when they were included. This indicates correctly that these injuries are not reflected in the Euro NCAP ratings. The risk to sustain a police reported severe or fatal injury was found to diminish with 12 % per star. The risk to be fatally injured or sustaining a long-term disability was found to diminish with 7 % per star.
Links

URL: http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/pdf/nrd-01/Esv/esv17/Proceed/00033.pdf

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Cited By (9)

Year	Entry
2011	Strandroth J, Rizzi M, Sternlund S, Lie A, Tingvall C. The correlation between pedestrian injury severity in real-life crashes and euro NCAP pedestrian test results. In: Proceedings of the 22nd International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). June 13-16, 2011; Washington, DC.
2013	Paine M, Paine D, Case M, Haley J, Newland C, Worden S. Trends with ANCAP safety ratings and real-world crash performance for vehicle models in Australia. In: Proceedings of the 23rd International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). May 27-30, 2013; Seoul, South Korea.
2015	Paine M, Paine D, Smith J, Case M, Haley J, Worden S. Vehicle safety trends and the influence of NCAP safety ratings. In: Proceedings of the 24th International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). June 8-11, 2015; Gothenburg, Sweden.
2017	Kim S, Park Y, Park W, Lee J, Kang B, Suh M. Consider of occupant injury mitigation through comparision between crash test results in KNCAP and real-world crsah. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). June 5-8, 2017; Detroit, MI.
2019	Kullgren A, Axelsson A, Stigson H, Ydenius A. Developments in car crash safety and comparisons between results from Euro NCAP tests and real-world crashes. In: Proceedings of the 26th International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). June 10-13, 2019; Eindhoven, Netherlands.
2001	Ydenius A, Kullgren A. Injury risk functions in frontal impacts using recorded crash pulses. In: Proceedings of the 2001 International IRCOBI Conference on the Biomechanics of Impact. October 10-12, 2001; Isle of Man, UK.
2002	Kullgren A, Krafft M, Ydenius A, Lie A, Tingvall C. Developments in car safety with respect to disability: injury distributions for car occupants in cars from the 80’s and 90’s. In: Proceedings of the 2002 International IRCOBI Conference on the Biomechanics of Impact. September 18-20, 2002; Munich, Germany.
2010	Kullgren A, Lie A, Tingvall C. Comparison between Euro NCAP test results and real-world crash data. Traffic Inj Prev. December 2010;11(6):587-93.
2011	Strandroth J, Rizzi M, Sternlund S, Lie A, Tingvall C. The correlation between pedestrian injury severity in real-life crashes and Euro NCAP pedestrian test results. Traffic Inj Prev. 2011;12(6):604-613.