Developments in the risk of crash involvement and injury to car occupants by model year using vehicle specific exposure data

Thomas, Pete

Affiliations

¹Transport Safety Research Centre, Loughborough University

Abstract and keywords

Crash test based consumer information systems, such as EuroNCAP or US NCAP, have indicated a substantial reduction in the risk of serious injury to car occupants since the mid‐1990s. In parallel with these improving experimental results, there has been a steady reduction in the total numbers of car occupants seriously or fatally injured and it has been generally assumed that improved crash protection accounts for much of the reductions observed societally. Nevertheless, there has been very little analysis of the relationship between experimental results and any real reductions in casualties because of the influence of confounding effects of other parameters including the exposure to risk of different categories of vehicle and the underlying trends in mobility. This paper uses UK national accident data and recently available exposure data to evaluate the developments of risk of fatal or serious injury in parallel with the risks of crash involvement.

Keywords: Crashworthiness, EuroNCAP, indicators, risk

Links

URL: http://www.ircobi.org/downloads/irc13/pdf_files/11.pdf

Cited Works (4)

Year	Entry
2001	Fails A, Minton R. Comparison of EuroNCAP assessments with injury causation in accidents. In: Proceedings of the 17th International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). June 4-7, 2001; Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
2007	Segui-Gomez M, Lopez-Valdes FJ, Frampton R. An evaluation of the euroncap crash test safety ratings in the real world. In: 51st Annual Proceedings, Association for the Advancement of Automotive Medicine (AAAM). October 15-17, 2007; Melbourne, Australia.281-298.
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Cited By (2)

Year	Entry
2016	Karlsson T, Lindman M, Svanberg B, Katibeh Z. Risk estimation for different precrash factors in run‐off road crashes in curves. In: Proceedings of the 2016 International IRCOBI Conference on the Biomechanics of Injury. September 14-16, 2016; Malaga, Spain.37-46.
2019	Forman J, Poplin GS, Shaw CG, McMurry TL, Schmidt K, Ash J, Sunnevang C. Automobile injury trends in the contemporary fleet: belted occupants in frontal collisions. Traffic Inj Prev. 2019;(6):607-612.