Injury risk assessment from real world injury outcomes in European crashes and their relationship to EuroNCAP test scores

Newstead, Stuart; Delaney, Amanda; Watson, Linda; Cameron, Max; Langwieder, Klaus

Affiliations

¹Monash University Accident Research Centre, Australia

²Technical University of Munich, Germany

Abstract

Assessment of vehicle occupant injury outcomes from the analysis of real crash data is important not only for measuring the safety performance of particular vehicle models but also for monitoring the design improvements in vehicles over time. This paper describes the development and application of methods to assess driver injury risk and injury severity outcomes from the analysis of large police reported crash databases from two major European countries: France and Great Britain. Analysis of injury risk and severity has utilised a new method of analysis based on the paired comparison approach that corrects for inherent bias in the established methods whilst adjusting the injury risk and severity ratings for the influence of non vehicle factors such as occupant and crash characteristics. Outputs from the initial analysis are example vehicle safety ratings that could be developed and used for consumer information on relative vehicle occupant protection performance throughout Europe. A final focus of the study is to examine the relationship between the injury risk and severity ratings derived from the police crash data sources and the relative vehicle safety performance ratings published by EuroNCAP. Comparison is made both at the overall level and between real crash ratings based on specific crash configurations similar to those used in the EuroNCAP test protocol.

Links

URL: http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/pdf/esv/esv19/05-0071-O.pdf

Cited Works (4)

Year	Entry
2001	Cameron M, Les M, Newstead S, Narayan S, Ernvall T, Laine V. Empirical comparison of vehicle aggressivity rating systems. In: Proceedings of the 17th International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV). June 4-7, 2001; Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
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1998	Cameron M, Newstead S, Le CM. Rating the aggressivity of Australian passenger vehicles towards other vehicle occupants and unprotectedroadusers. In: Proceedings of the 1998 International IRCOBI Conference on the Biomechanics of Impact. September 16-18, 1998; Göteberg, Sweden.27-42.
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Cited By (2)

Year	Entry
2011	Page Y, Hermitte T, Cuny S. How safe is vehicle safety? the contribution of vehicle technologies to the reduction in road casualties in france from 2000 to 2010. In: 55th Annual Proceedings, Association for the Advancement of Automotive Medicine (AAAM). October 3-5, 2011; Paris, France.101-112.
2013	Thomas P. Developments in the risk of crash involvement and injury to car occupants by model year using vehicle specific exposure data. In: Proceedings of the 2013 International IRCOBI Conference on the Biomechanics of Injury. September 11-13, 2013; Gothenburg, Sweden.12-23.