Numerous metrics have been developed to identify revolutionary science which is crucial for advancing science. However, these metrics have rarely successfully identified revolutionary discoveries. We propose a two-dimension metric to quantify revolutionary discoveries by combining the consolidation-or-destabilization (CD) index with the citation count. To verify the validity of the metric, we utilize multivariate linear regression to investigate the differences in the CD indices and citations between 164 Nobel prize-winning papers from 1976 to 2016 (i.e., revolutionary science) and 9,034 counterparts that are similar to the Nobel prize-winning papers in terms of bibliographic information. We find that our proposed metric successfully shows a significant and distinct difference between the Nobel prize-winning papers and their counterparts in that the former receive around 880 more citations and 0.07 higher CD indices than the latter. The reliability of our proposed measure is robust.
Keywords:
Revolutionary research; CD index; Citation count; Nobel prize-winning papers; Multivariate linear regression